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2024-12-14 01:22:04

Kaisa disclosed the progress of overseas debt restructuring. Hong Kong plans to hold a hearing on December 19, and Kaisa Group Holdings Limited issued an announcement on December 11, disclosing further information about overseas debt restructuring, involving a notice to hold a hearing. According to the announcement, Kaisa Hong Kong plans to hold a hearing in the High Court of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region at 10 am on December 19, 2024. At the same time, Kaisa Cayman plans to hold a hearing in the Grand Court of Cayman Islands at 9: 30 am on January 15, 2025.When the Fed became cautious about cutting interest rates, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, and the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, which was in line with economists' expectations and higher than the level of 2.6% in October. The data highlights people's concerns about sticky inflation after inflation rose in October. It is widely expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row next week, but the pace of interest rate cuts next year is uncertain, because the Fed is striving to achieve the dual mission of keeping the inflation rate close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level, that is, high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts. They say that if we act too fast, inflation may stay above the 2% target, but if we act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.


Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.


Market News: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US election to show that Ukraine needs security in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.

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